Same-Strife
0xa0ef0035ae562c8304d1970738231543105caeee
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$28.82
Total PnL
$-15.85
Realised
$-1.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?
52 shares @ 52.8¢·now 34.4¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$17.84
$-9.56
- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.02
$-0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 20?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.72
$0.07
- YES
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 60.5¢·now 33.3¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$1.36
$-1.11
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
4 shares @ 32.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.06
$-0.22
- YES
Will Italy win Junior Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 34.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Oct 25, 2026$1.02
$-0.68
- YES
Will Ukraine win Junior Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 33.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Oct 25, 2026$0.97
$-0.68
- YES
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Albania win Junior Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Oct 25, 2026$0.63
$-0.42
- YES
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 27.6¢·now 11.7¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$0.46
$-0.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting?$2.52Jun 19, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Mexico increases interest rates by 50+ bps after August 2026 meeting?$1.14Jun 19, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.20Jun 19, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.31Jun 19, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 20?$0.67Jun 19, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 20?$0.35Jun 19, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.33Jun 19, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$0.94Jun 19, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.98Jun 19, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1.04Jun 19, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 20?$1.30Jun 19, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 20?$1.50Jun 19, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.22Jun 19, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 20?$2.04Jun 19, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 20?$1.09Jun 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 20?$1.30Jun 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 20?$2.31Jun 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 20?$1.14Jun 19, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 20?$1.65Jun 19, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 20?$1.71Jun 19, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 22:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.