Nippy-Teaching
0xa0f5cf097e65875015414f03dda205c9e3fd0456
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$479.21
Total PnL
$163.20
Realised
$136.48
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026?
364 shares @ 76.7¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$287.85
$8.26
- YES
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?
260 shares @ 11.3¢·now 26.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$67.55
$38.19
- YES
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?
119 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$37.11
$1.31
- NO
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?
36 shares @ 91.7¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.61
$1.29
- NO
Will Francesca Hong win Dane County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?
1259 shares @ 4.2¢·now 2.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$31.46
$-22.02
- NO
Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?
15 shares @ 69.3¢·now 68.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$10.33
$-0.06
- YES
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?
16 shares @ 51.2¢·now 48.9¢·exp Jan 8, 2027$7.57
$-0.37
- NO
Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$2.73
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?$116.77Aug 9, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?$16.77Aug 9, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?$1.95Aug 9, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?$83.36Aug 9, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?$4.73Aug 9, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?$2.20Aug 9, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?$2.25Aug 9, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?$4.88Aug 9, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?$2.30Aug 9, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?$31.66Aug 9, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?$51.32Aug 9, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?$11.37Aug 9, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?$19.20Aug 9, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?$2.65Aug 9, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?$38.24Aug 9, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?$38.16Aug 9, 02:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Svitle by October 31?$0.30Aug 9, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Svitle by October 31?$1.59Aug 9, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Svitle by October 31?$1.57Aug 9, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Svitle by October 31?$1.55Aug 9, 02:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $16.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 9, 02:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.