Husky-Marxism
0xa0fbccfa04bb6642333cad0ecb1ebf763e88b558
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-374.41
Realised
$-103.42
Win rate
0%
91 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
1014 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.89
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
104 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
97 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-25.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
97 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-25.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
93 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-24.09
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
65 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao?$1.03Jun 14, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$2.05Jun 14, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$2.46Jun 14, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 14, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.78Jun 14, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.35Jun 12, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$4.08May 30, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.45May 30, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.06May 16, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$0.00May 16, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 16, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.62May 16, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15May 16, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$1.03May 16, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1.04May 15, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.05May 14, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.04May 14, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$1.04May 14, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$5.12May 14, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 91 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
91 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 91 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.