Probable-Pomelo
0xa103185c884ec85e20ec34d78784afd31e3ba2e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$7.94
Total PnL
$-181.66
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
313 shares @ 6.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.94
$-12.06
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
7597 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-117.60
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
127 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
69 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
31 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
24 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- NO
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?
12 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 17, 00:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 15, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 14, 00:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 12, 01:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 11, 01:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 10, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 9, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 8, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 6, 00:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 4, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 11, 00:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 10, 00:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.