Polished-Evening
0xa10f535e2ec48915090a575568ab49370092c098
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-146.28
Realised
$1.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
24400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-31.96
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
16280 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-22.27
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the January meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
2496 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-19.97
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
1474 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-21.63
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
1400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
97 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
97 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
65 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$0.00May 25, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.06May 25, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.06May 25, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.04May 25, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.03May 25, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.03May 25, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.03May 25, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.04May 25, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.04May 25, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$7.66May 25, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.03May 25, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.02May 25, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.02May 25, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.03May 25, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.03May 25, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.45May 25, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.02May 25, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$0.19May 25, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$0.25May 25, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$0.53May 25, 19:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 19:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".