Handsome-Heroine
0xa112ccdea833f854caf5d595f27421f5ce778060
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$2.07
Total PnL
$-154.43
Realised
$0.22
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.07
$-2.93
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
1333 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SWEDEN
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
129 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
108 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 30, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-30?$20.55Jun 30, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Sweden: Team to Advance$20.53Jun 30, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$50.44Jun 30, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$30.52Jun 25, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-25?$10.23Jun 25, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$24.09Jun 25, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.50Jun 25, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.00Mar 23, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.32Mar 22, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.92Mar 22, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.97Mar 22, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$3.63Mar 22, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$3.34Mar 16, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$3.00Mar 16, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.99Mar 16, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 21:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 18:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.