Nocturnal-Bellows
0xa11bad99b71ce591cff9c236d2591c7055031d17
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
3661 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
3511 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2390 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2388 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2375 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2374 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2369 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2362 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2355 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2350 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.14Mar 14, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.04Feb 6, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMLecornu out as French PM by December 31?$2.05Feb 6, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Dec 20, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $782.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".