Nervous-Circadian
0xa123a5f1b10d7fd081da3432f48225e03c051d47
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
116
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-310.87
Realised
$8.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 116- NO
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?
2768 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?
1291 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will another MrBeast video get 55m+ day 1 views by September 30?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on October 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2025?$1.00Oct 25, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2025?$1.00Oct 25, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$1.00Oct 25, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$1.00Oct 25, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?$1.00Oct 25, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$1.00Oct 25, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$1.00Oct 25, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150k in October?$1.00Oct 25, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by October 31?$1.00Oct 25, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diplo run the 5k in under 19 minutes?$1.00Oct 25, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 23-26?$1.00Oct 25, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$1.00Oct 14, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?$1.00Oct 14, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" 5+ times during Egypt summit?$1.00Oct 13, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace prize" during Egypt summit?$1.00Oct 13, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Riviera" or "Resort" during Egypt summit?$1.00Oct 13, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end before October 15?$1.00Oct 13, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$32.08Oct 13, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$1.00Oct 12, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$1.00Oct 12, 19:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".