Forked-Source
0xa124d7aa489575d284e0b78e3cde5d9c6ec487d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.5K
Realised
$-64.27
Win rate
8%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
546 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-38.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
457 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-215.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
434 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-211.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
407 shares @ 53.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-218.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
380 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-174.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
321 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
321 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
281 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
274 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-142.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
268 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-140.38
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$7.25Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$36.03Jun 20, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$36.79Jun 20, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$22.57Jun 20, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$24.93Jun 20, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$20.20Jun 20, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.08Jun 20, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$2.08Jun 20, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$38.29Jun 20, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$33.58Jun 20, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$36.93Jun 20, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$36.93Jun 20, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$37.02Jun 20, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$106.74Jun 20, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$36.54Jun 20, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$40.15Jun 20, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$37.02Jun 20, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$61.54Jun 20, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$37.35Jun 20, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$34.99Jun 20, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $32.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.