Only-Crayon
0xa12b4bdbf75c40281023fb90b7007ee2b6c0646d
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$38.15
Total PnL
$0.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
11 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$11.17
$0.17
- BUCCANEERS
Saints vs. Buccaneers
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2025$4.40
$0.40
- CAVALIERS
Hornets vs. Cavaliers
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2025$3.23
$0.23
- YES
Election certified on January 6?
3 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2025$3.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Biden finish his term?
3 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?
3 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$3.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?
3 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$3.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Jaylen Brown lead the NBA in scoring?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
1 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Lula out before April?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend a sporting event by Sunday?$1.00Feb 23, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreens win over 15% of vote in German election? $1.00Feb 23, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLula out before April?$1.00Feb 23, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?$1.00Jan 5, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?$1.00Jan 5, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Cavaliers$3.00Jan 5, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaints vs. Buccaneers$2.00Jan 5, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaints vs. Buccaneers$2.00Jan 5, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBears vs. Packers$1.00Jan 5, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$3.00Jan 5, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany?$3.00Jan 5, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaylen Brown lead the NBA in scoring?$2.00Jan 5, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$3.00Jan 5, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYElection certified on January 6?$3.00Jan 5, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$11.00Jan 5, 09:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 09:15 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".