Third-Outlay
0xa1300b1cc361c770f0285eaed9a57950399fc032
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$53.26
Total PnL
$-7.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$9.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
21 shares @ 42.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$8.29
$-0.53
- OVER
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
15 shares @ 47.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$6.58
$-0.37
- YES
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
10 shares @ 44.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.60
$0.20
- YES
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
25 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.00
$0.25
- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?
10 shares @ 49.8¢·now 39.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.96
$-1.02
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
21 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.88
$0.10
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
9 shares @ 44.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$3.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
25 shares @ 30.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.88
$-4.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$7.06May 29, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?$5.05May 29, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Silva be the next manager of Benfica?$1.99May 29, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLÖzgür Özel arrested by June 30?$3.31May 29, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLÖzgür Özel arrested by June 30?$6.39May 29, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLÖzgür Özel arrested by June 30?$1.63May 29, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLÖzgür Özel arrested by June 30?$2.64May 29, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$4.07May 28, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$10.19May 28, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYÖzgür Özel arrested by June 30?$1.06May 28, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$1.08May 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$2.70May 28, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYÖzgür Özel arrested by June 30?$3.11May 28, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump meets with Putin by December 31?$4.40May 28, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?$3.75May 28, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYÖzgür Özel arrested by June 30?$0.26May 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?$7.71May 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.06May 28, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$8.97May 28, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$4.15May 28, 11:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $4.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 11:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 15:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".