Phony-Wrench
0xa134295a756bd857574870181cdfc5616b694cf5
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$2.06
Total PnL
$-251.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
115 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.21
$-0.75
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Sean Winter win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
3330 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?
1681 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
162 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 10PM ET
142 shares @ 76.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-108.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.33Dec 22, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?$0.00Dec 18, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?$0.00Dec 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Siaosi Sovaleni be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?$0.01Dec 18, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?$0.21Dec 18, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?$3.77Dec 18, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?$5.00Dec 16, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31?$10.00Dec 16, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?$1.50Dec 16, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?$3.00Dec 16, 03:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9PM ET$12.99Dec 16, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9PM ET$5.00Dec 16, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?$2.10Dec 16, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?$4.20Dec 16, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.10Dec 16, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$4.20Dec 16, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9PM ET$129.61Dec 16, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9PM ET$4.60Dec 16, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9PM ET$8.39Dec 16, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9PM ET$100.28Dec 16, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 14:27 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 17:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".