Buzzing-Secretariat-Analysis
0xa139a59c60ade1e2908065737a5fad03845d5bc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-846.12
Realised
$108.50
Win rate
59%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 3?
150 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-56.62
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 30?
148 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-36.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 2?
136 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on May 2?
133 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-12.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on May 2?
115 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-33.39
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on April 30?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 1?
100 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?
98 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-17.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 2?
94 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.93
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 3?
91 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.68
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 6?$0.23May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 6?$0.31May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 5?$0.33May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 5?$0.34May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 6?$0.40May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 5?$0.47May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 5?$0.50May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?$0.50May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on May 4?$0.52May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 5?$0.53May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?$0.57May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on May 5?$0.74May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 5?$0.75May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 4?$0.80May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 5?$0.81May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 6?$0.83May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 5?$0.85May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 6?$0.85May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 5?$0.88May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 4?$0.89May 18, 23:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
82/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
44 closed markets, 59% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $5.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 01:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 23:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.