Equal-Fail
0xa13d41aebf8bb61fb2798b6d6963327f152336c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
12 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.77
- YES
2025 September third hottest on record?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 7?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Biden" during executive order signing events on November 13?
3 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.18
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Glen Powell say "Sydney" or "Sweeney" during Saturday Night Live on November 15?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.27
- YES
Will Glen Powell say "Running Man" 3+ times during Saturday Night Live on November 15?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 17?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.06
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 17?$1.06Feb 17, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.05Feb 17, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$0.00Feb 17, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.04Feb 17, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$1.04Feb 17, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$1.02Feb 17, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.02Feb 17, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Feb 17, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?$1.00Feb 17, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?$1.00Feb 16, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?$1.00Feb 16, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?$1.01Feb 16, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?$1.01Feb 16, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$1.78Feb 15, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?$1.00Feb 15, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?$1.01Feb 15, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?$1.26Feb 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?$1.25Feb 14, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?$1.00Feb 14, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?$1.00Feb 14, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 22:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 01:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".