Poised-Rally
0xa14a371fdd3b679e1b6ed501f99459664fa822b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
190 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
122 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
73 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
4 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 19, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 19, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 19, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 19, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 16, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 16, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 16, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Apr 6, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Apr 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.31Apr 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.00Apr 6, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Apr 6, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$2.92Mar 20, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$2.00Mar 18, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$2.00Mar 18, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$1.99Mar 18, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$1.00Mar 18, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 11:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.