Safe-Hypothermia
0xa1527014fbd4d1a4e773423a18f248e8c5d42d9f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
145653 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-199.84
- YES
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
30584 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
10471 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
9177 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
5714 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
4083 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
3934 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-680.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
3348 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
1624 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay
754 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2024$0.00
$-211.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$473.68Jul 14, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.4KJul 14, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1000.00Jul 4, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.0KJul 4, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$14.0KJul 4, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$11.8KJun 25, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$8.0KJun 24, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$3.8KJun 24, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$15.4KJun 24, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$299.96Sep 16, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$200.00Jul 21, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$200.00Jul 21, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$200.00Jul 21, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$200.00Jul 21, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$200.00Jul 21, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$200.00Jul 21, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$100.00Jul 18, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden drops out of presidential race?$12.9KJul 18, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$680.00Jun 28, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden drops out of presidential race?$681.33Jun 28, 05:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 23:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.