Quarterly-Raft
0xa15b894f7abe5ffc1080c253e5e0ed09c04500e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$115.14
Total PnL
$80.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 9?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$100.00
$98.00
- OVER
Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5
4 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$4.10
$2.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$3.03
$0.12
- B8
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner
3 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$3.00
$1.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 14?
3 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$3.00
$1.29
- YES
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?
2 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$2.01
$0.09
- YES
Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-20?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.04
- YES
Will Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-01?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.07
- YES
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-01?
7 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.71
- GRIZZLIES
Grizzlies vs. Knicks
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 14?$1.88Feb 14, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 14?$1.71Feb 14, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 12?$2.91Dec 12, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 9?$2.00Dec 9, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner$1.71Dec 1, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samsunspor win on 2025-12-01?$2.12Dec 1, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samsunspor win on 2025-12-01?$1.59Dec 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Wizards: O/U 236.5$1.68Dec 1, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?$1.92Dec 1, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline$2.02Dec 1, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adelaide United FC win on 2025-11-07?$5.12Dec 1, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alanyaspor win on 2025-12-01?$2.07Dec 1, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline$1.68Nov 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline$1.44Nov 21, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EC Juventude win on 2025-11-20?$5.04Nov 20, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Sharks$1.92Nov 20, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Capitals$1.44Nov 19, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Magic: 1H Moneyline$1.94Nov 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders Team Total: O/U 19.5$1.47Nov 16, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong SAR vs. Cambodia end in a draw?$2.43Nov 13, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 04:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 04:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".