Flimsy-Trolley
0xa15b9c4dcea9da399e5825ecad144a086e143533
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-713.04
Realised
$15.85
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
9079 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
4696 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?
1613 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?
1084 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 7, 2AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 15?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 10?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 5?$0.02Jun 5, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 5?$0.02Jun 5, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?$0.02Jun 5, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 5?$0.03Jun 5, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 26?$4.77May 26, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 25?$1.14May 25, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 25?$2.39May 25, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 25?$0.31May 25, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 25?$1.03May 25, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C or higher on May 25?$2.24May 25, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 26?$3.47May 25, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 25?$0.31May 25, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 25?$0.01May 25, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on May 25?$1.90May 25, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 25?$0.04May 25, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 25?$2.81May 25, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 25?$0.48May 25, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 25?$0.48May 25, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 26?$3.54May 25, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 25?$3.47May 25, 01:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 15:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.