Pesky-Short
0xa15bd710db24789ff74c54008a5caf4c7fa930f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
122
Open notional
$167.24
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$374.15
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$86.99
$37.00
- NO
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
75 shares @ 66.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.00
$19.50
- YES
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.25
$7.25
- YES
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
1500 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-225.99
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
700 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-44.62
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
544 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.98
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
500 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-57.00
- NO
Will Wix.Com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?
495 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-25.94
- NO
Will Woodward (WWD) beat quarterly earnings?
421 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-31.45
- NO
Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?
417 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-17.83
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.