Assured-Promenade
0xa15c0db8bff5f95dae259ee0967f723e34023b08
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$101.95
Total PnL
$-74.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?
102 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$101.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
1167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $112,000 November 10-16?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 15?
475 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 22?
410 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?
323 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 9m?
231 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 9?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5?$102.01Jun 4, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?$102.10Jun 1, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?$102.01Jun 1, 12:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?$74.07May 25, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 25?$28.07May 25, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?$74.01May 24, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 18-24?$1.18May 24, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 25?$28.00May 24, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$103.21May 21, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$103.01May 21, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$102.10May 21, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$102.00May 9, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$103.10May 9, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$103.01May 7, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?$41.04May 7, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$62.12May 7, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4?$41.00May 4, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$62.01May 3, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?$103.10May 3, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?$103.01May 2, 02:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $74.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 13:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 11:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".