0xa15def5a8acbd3522eccbdd7f7d7640bf971af10
0xa15def5a8acbd3522eccbdd7f7d7640bf971af10
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
150
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-165.82
Realised
$4.95
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 150- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on February 16?
525 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 18?
125 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 17?
105 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on February 19?
85 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or below on February 18?
79 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on February 17?
75 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
63 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C on February 18?
60 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or below on February 19?
55 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C or below on February 18?
55 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 20?$0.05Feb 19, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7AM ET$10.00Feb 19, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - February 19, 6AM ET$30.00Feb 19, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$0.85Feb 19, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$2.35Feb 19, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$2.00Feb 19, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$2.55Feb 19, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$5.00Feb 19, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$9.87Feb 19, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.20Feb 19, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.25Feb 19, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$2.55Feb 19, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$2.55Feb 19, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$2.55Feb 19, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$2.63Feb 19, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$1.50Feb 19, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$2.50Feb 19, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$2.00Feb 19, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$4.92Feb 19, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$4.92Feb 19, 12:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 20:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.