Confused-Spectacle
0xa163108007cfbcedf0494bdb99d72021ed757bcb
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$28.16
Total PnL
$-373.07
Realised
$-39.85
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 26?
28 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$28.16
$0.06
- YES
Will Solana reach $270 in September?
529 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-28.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?
214 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $300 in September?
213 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-27.17
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on July 20?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on August 17?
121 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on July 22?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on July 12?
49 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Ethereum close above $4000 on July 31?
44 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 26?$28.10Mar 26, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18?$28.10Mar 26, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 18?$27.93Mar 18, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 17?$27.93Mar 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 17?$27.87Mar 17, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 16?$27.88Mar 17, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 16?$27.71Mar 15, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 14?$27.71Mar 15, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 14?$27.52Mar 14, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 13?$27.52Mar 14, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 13?$27.11Mar 13, 06:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 12?$27.10Mar 13, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 12?$26.94Mar 12, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?$26.95Mar 12, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?$26.78Mar 11, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 10?$26.78Mar 11, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 10?$26.62Mar 10, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 9?$26.62Mar 10, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 9?$25.98Mar 8, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 8?$25.98Mar 8, 23:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $25.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 03:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 08:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".