Neglected-Ethics
0xa16354193f1f166db6cc24d932d8b091296ade8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$136.3K
Total PnL
$2.5K
Realised
$238.54
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
101343 shares @ 80.4¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.6K
$55.43
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
21118 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.6K
$399.79
- NO
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
7848 shares @ 93.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.8K
$464.48
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
7412 shares @ 82.3¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.7K
$644.94
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7095 shares @ 87.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.6K
$440.64
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
7000 shares @ 86.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.3K
$195.00
- NO
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
3178 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.9K
$79.73
- NO
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 94.9¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.9K
$-1.00
- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
1587 shares @ 77.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-63.50
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
1035 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$906.01
$5.18
Recent activity
- YIELD$2.50Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?$151.36Jun 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?$32.64Jun 13, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$68.55Jun 13, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$59.79Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$68.21Jun 13, 05:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.66Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$2.24Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.9KJun 12, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.98Jun 12, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.98Jun 12, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.98Jun 12, 15:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.98Jun 12, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.98Jun 12, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$10.32Jun 12, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$2.8KJun 12, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.7KJun 12, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$950.45Jun 12, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$950.45Jun 12, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$34.65Jun 12, 13:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $409.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.