Zesty-Exploration
0xa164225e1666e682e07ffb186a5db5bc95781405
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$29.29
Total PnL
$-319.31
Realised
$511.98
Win rate
9%
172 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 18?
100 shares @ 6.5¢·now 17.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$17.00
$10.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?
272 shares @ 4.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$6.80
$-4.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 18?
355 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$2.84
$-0.51
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on August 18?
400 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.80
$-1.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on August 17?
608 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.30
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 17?
213 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.11
$-3.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 17?
210 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.10
$-1.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 17?
200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.10
$-1.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 17?
120 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.06
$-23.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on August 17?
116 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.06
$-1.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?$3.49Aug 18, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on August 18?$1.12Aug 17, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 18?$0.91Aug 17, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?$1.41Aug 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on August 18?$2.41Aug 17, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?$0.92Aug 17, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 18?$1.76Aug 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 18?$5.33Aug 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 18?$1.57Aug 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 18?$3.66Aug 17, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on August 17?$0.64Aug 17, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 17?$1.54Aug 17, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 17?$2.10Aug 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 17?$9.27Aug 17, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 18?$0.84Aug 17, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 17?$1.60Aug 17, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 17?$3.77Aug 17, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 17?$2.20Aug 17, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 17?$1.76Aug 17, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 17?$3.98Aug 17, 14:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 172 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
172 closed markets, 9% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 15:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 172 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.