Reckless-Uncertainty
0xa1651565e33f79fc493adadda652466dab020822
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 15?
3241 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $111K on August 8?
2717 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in July?
813 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in July?
367 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 24?
352 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on July 11?
345 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 15?
333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,000 and $4,100 on October 24?
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $114K on July 25?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $109K and $111K on July 11?
278 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?$37.95Nov 20, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 24?$196.00Nov 20, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?$20.00Nov 20, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 20?$20.00Nov 20, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 20?$30.00Nov 20, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 24?$12.38Oct 24, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,900 and $4,000 on October 24?$50.00Oct 24, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4,000 and $4,100 on October 24?$100.00Oct 24, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 24?$50.00Oct 24, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on October 24?$100.00Oct 24, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 24?$100.00Oct 24, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 17?$115.11Oct 17, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 17?$50.00Oct 17, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 15?$300.00Oct 15, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 15?$50.00Sep 14, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 14?$601.82Sep 12, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 14?$256.87Sep 12, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on September 14?$250.00Sep 11, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.9% in July?$20.00Aug 10, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.9% in July?$100.00Aug 10, 15:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $112.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 20:11 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 20, 15:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".