Flaky-Male
0xa16741cf3bcdacef9efa65a35dae2dc6e2fe729e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$16.52
Total PnL
$-419.96
Realised
$4.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
121 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.35
$-3.03
- YES
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
25 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.16
$-5.42
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 31?
566 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?
281 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 8?
154 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?
124 shares @ 32.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 8?
105 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-64.78
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
92 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Spurs$26.39Apr 3, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Heat$10.00Mar 12, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Thunder$10.00Mar 12, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Spurs$10.00Mar 12, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$30.74Mar 11, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$9.90Jan 15, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 15, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$4.70Jan 15, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 15?$24.39Jan 15, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$13.36Jan 14, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$13.66Jan 14, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$12.47Jan 13, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$12.00Jan 13, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 15?$10.00Jan 13, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$7.88Jan 13, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$4.09Jan 13, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?$22.50Jan 13, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 7°C on January 8?$24.78Jan 8, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 8?$24.77Jan 8, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$19.38Jan 8, 21:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $16.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".