Improbable-Facet
0xa1736e22c55efdc08ff9440fb4c86d4e7f3ecfe8
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-114.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?
380 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-102.68
- ISRAEL
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion?
21 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2023$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2023$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2023$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
ETH above $2,000 at end of August?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2023$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2023$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2023 Women's World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win on 2025-05-31?$2.72May 31, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter win on 2025-05-31?$99.96May 31, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELL[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.59Jan 8, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion?$1.03Oct 19, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS military intervention by Oct 31?$1.03Oct 19, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.50Oct 14, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?$1.00Oct 14, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military intervention by Oct 31?$1.00Oct 14, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20?$2.00Oct 14, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30?$2.00Oct 14, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?$2.00Oct 14, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2023 Women's World Cup?$4.54Aug 17, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2023 Women's World Cup?$5.53Aug 17, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIs the Room-Temp Superconductor real?$0.44Aug 12, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH above $2,000 at end of August?$2.00Aug 4, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2023 Women's World Cup?$2.00Aug 3, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2023 Women's World Cup?$2.00Aug 3, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2023 Women's World Cup?$1.00Aug 3, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed cut rates in 2023?$1.00Aug 3, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIs the Room-Temp Superconductor real?$2.00Aug 3, 01:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $6.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 01:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 16:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".