Enchanted-Instruction
0xa175ddd24e57100a8a171e0ea458c1d5e2bc82f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-199.39
Realised
$9.23
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C or higher on April 4?
923 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-174.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
67 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-14.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
35 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.59
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
35 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
34 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
34 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
20 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
18 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
11 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 14?$55.27Apr 14, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 14?$46.21Apr 14, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 14?$45.95Apr 14, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 14?$43.70Apr 14, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$5.86Apr 14, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$6.00Apr 14, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$6.00Apr 14, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$6.00Apr 14, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.80Apr 14, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$0.12Apr 14, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$6.00Apr 14, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$6.00Apr 14, 12:34 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$6.00Apr 9, 00:57 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$6.00Apr 9, 00:57 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$6.00Apr 9, 00:57 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$6.00Apr 9, 00:56 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$6.00Apr 9, 00:56 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$6.00Apr 9, 00:56 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$6.00Apr 9, 00:56 UTC
- MERGEBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$6.00Apr 9, 00:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $47.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 00:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 15:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.