Other-Sin-Hope
0xa1782503f9192f5e94badde0136f1afba3b93204
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$212.05
Total PnL
$9.14
Realised
$61.30
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
31 shares @ 60.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$29.78
$11.18
- NO
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?
29 shares @ 60.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$28.49
$11.09
- NO
Will Maria Scruggs win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
29 shares @ 60.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$28.42
$11.02
- NO
Will Brandi Gabbard win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
29 shares @ 60.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$27.93
$10.53
- NO
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
31 shares @ 60.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$27.88
$9.28
- NO
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
23 shares @ 65.0¢·now 88.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$20.24
$5.35
- NO
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 89.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$15.15
$5.00
- NO
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
19 shares @ 60.0¢·now 78.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.84
$3.51
- NO
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
10 shares @ 60.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.37
$2.46
- NO
Will Jim Large win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$4.95
$0.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "TheBurntPeanut" be the most watched Twitch streamer in July?$36.65Jul 31, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "ESLCS" be the most watched Twitch streamer in July?$45.00Jul 31, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "ohnePixel" be the most watched Twitch streamer in July?$50.00Jul 31, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "stableronaldo" be the most watched Twitch streamer in July?$50.00Jul 31, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Caedrel" be the most watched Twitch streamer in July?$66.00Jul 31, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "eliasn97" be the most watched Twitch streamer in July?$59.99Jul 31, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "cs2_paragon_ru" be the most watched Twitch streamer in July?$55.00Jul 31, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "HasanAbi" be the most watched Twitch streamer in July?$25.38Jul 31, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "summit1g" be the most watched Twitch streamer in July?$40.83Jul 31, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Trymacs" be the most watched Twitch streamer in July?$36.45Jul 31, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "xQc" be the most watched Twitch streamer in July?$35.04Jul 31, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Tumblurr" be the most watched Twitch streamer in July?$77.00Jul 31, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "bySL4M" be the most watched Twitch streamer in July?$30.81Jul 31, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?$20.92Jul 30, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?$1.26Jul 21, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?$1.28Jul 21, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?$1.26Jul 21, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?$4.90Jul 20, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?$9.14Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?$12.67Jul 16, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $13.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 18:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.