Apprehensive-Phenotype
0xa1859d2044973c96297a2cd0f0d6b9c0654fbf5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$52.72
Total PnL
$-353.59
Realised
$31.29
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.28
$2.28
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
72 shares @ 11.1¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.95
$-1.04
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.88
$-0.13
- NO
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
9 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.21
$0.04
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
70 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.85
$-0.35
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
118 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.71
$-0.29
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
19 shares @ 21.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.71
$-0.28
- YES
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
31 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.38
$-0.62
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
91 shares @ 5.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.22
$-1.78
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
15 shares @ 30.1¢·now 20.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.11
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$4.17Jun 14, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$5.10Jun 14, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$6.93Jun 14, 06:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$4.18Jun 9, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$0.02Jun 9, 22:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$3.99Jun 8, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$7.84Jun 8, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$1.40Jun 8, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$3.05Jun 8, 19:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$4.09Jun 5, 19:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $4.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 13:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.