Alive-Longitude
0xa19bac7b42b9f1d5def4adca7589674495169261
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$10.77
Total PnL
$-5.26
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?
1 shares @ 85.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.22
$0.18
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.19
$0.15
- YES
Will Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
1 shares @ 83.4¢·now 93.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on July 7?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.03
$0.00
- NO
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.02
$0.00
- YES
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 8, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 11?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.05Jul 6, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$1.00Jul 6, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.01Jul 6, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.05Jul 6, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 11?$3.97Jul 6, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 11?$5.00Jul 6, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 8, 2026?$3.98Jul 6, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Worst Neighbor Ever" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.05Jul 6, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 8, 2026?$5.00Jul 6, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?$1.00Jul 6, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerry Carl be the Republican nominee for AL-01?$1.01Jul 6, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on July 7?$7.97Jul 6, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 84°F or higher on July 7?$9.00Jul 6, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.97Jul 6, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.07Jul 6, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.00Jul 6, 17:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1.01Jun 16, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?$1.12Jun 16, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 2.5m?$1.13Jun 16, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 2.5m?$8.86May 4, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $5.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 04:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 17:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.