0xa19e976b3417f8cc7ca9c48cc48e090b99fcf836
0xa19e976b3417f8cc7ca9c48cc48e090b99fcf836
Wallet digest
Activity score
21/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.08
Total PnL
$-13.60
Realised
$-5.83
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
31 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.21
$-0.03
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
24 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.70
$-0.77
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.45
$-0.15
- YES
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
20 shares @ 7.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.43
$-0.97
- YES
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
31 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.29
$-0.02
- YES
Will "Raw: 2026 - March 23, 2026" be the top global Netflix show this week?
105 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will "Age of Attraction: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
105 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top global Netflix show this week?
105 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will "Ms. Rachel: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?
104 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will "The Predator of Seville: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?
77 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$2.11May 1, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$0.00Apr 15, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$0.00Apr 15, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Bad Guys 2" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$0.00Apr 15, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Beauty in Black: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.00Apr 15, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Predator of Seville: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.00Apr 15, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Ms. Rachel: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.00Apr 15, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.00Apr 15, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Age of Attraction: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.00Apr 15, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Raw: 2026 - March 23, 2026" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.00Apr 15, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$0.00Apr 12, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$0.00Apr 12, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Bad Guys 2" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$0.00Apr 12, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Beauty in Black: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.00Apr 12, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Predator of Seville: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.00Apr 12, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Ms. Rachel: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.00Apr 12, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.00Apr 12, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Age of Attraction: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.00Apr 12, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Raw: 2026 - March 23, 2026" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.00Apr 12, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$0.00Apr 12, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 06:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 13:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.