Known-Convection
0xa1a0b5c91a04c6fda4e20aa0635636566c1d61b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$23.75
Total PnL
$-0.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?
7 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$6.63
$-0.10
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of May 18 2026?
6 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$5.69
$-0.03
- NO
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 19?
6 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.52
$-0.07
- YES
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.5¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.90
$-0.06
- YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
678 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.02
$-0.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 19?$5.60May 19, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$4.96May 19, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of May 18 2026?$5.72May 19, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?$6.74May 19, 03:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.36Apr 18, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?$26.89Apr 14, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?$26.81Apr 5, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Apr 3, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?$29.08Apr 1, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.29Mar 27, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?$29.02Mar 16, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.97Mar 14, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.10Mar 6, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.38Mar 3, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00Mar 2, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.38Feb 24, 11:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 21, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.81Feb 20, 18:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 19, 00:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $25.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 06:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 03:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".