Admirable-Leg
0xa1a692bdce9954beaa1aea2400ef1884e59f41d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.3K
Realised
$-17.8K
Win rate
9%
95 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
772 shares @ 87.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-675.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
664 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-353.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
635 shares @ 81.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-515.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
624 shares @ 76.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-477.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
591 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-531.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
522 shares @ 87.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-456.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
501 shares @ 90.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-453.46
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
485 shares @ 91.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-443.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
408 shares @ 78.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-319.59
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
268 shares @ 76.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-204.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$106.38Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$100.42Jun 4, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$0.33May 30, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.35May 30, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$0.51May 30, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$0.67May 30, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$0.68May 30, 12:22 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$16.28Apr 3, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$3.39Apr 2, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$168.02Apr 2, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$100.41Apr 2, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$390.42Apr 2, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$2.08Apr 2, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$2.77Apr 2, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$138.18Apr 2, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$261.53Apr 2, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$280.00Apr 2, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$280.89Apr 2, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$66.74Apr 2, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$41.44Apr 2, 01:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 95 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
95 closed markets, 9% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $95.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 01:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 95 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.