Imaginary-Chairman
0xa1a84a33405d4895b9cbb5b6d47b79cdb04b6764
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$-10.68
Win rate
0%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 1?
156 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$155.95
$-0.08
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
156 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$155.82
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 1?
130 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$129.94
$0.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on August 1?
120 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$119.96
$0.06
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 1?
120 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$119.96
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or higher on August 1?
120 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$119.95
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on August 1?
108 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$108.01
$0.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on August 1?
102 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$100.87
$-0.97
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
89 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$89.37
$0.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 1?
84 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$84.37
$0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on August 1?$156.03Aug 1, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 1?$29.23Aug 1, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 1?$84.50Aug 1, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 31?$18.09Aug 1, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 1?$129.75Aug 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?$23.42Aug 1, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?$120.47Aug 1, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 83°F or below on July 31?$17.67Aug 1, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or higher on August 1?$119.90Aug 1, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB reach $700 in July?$42.00Aug 1, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on August 1?$119.91Aug 1, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 1?$119.91Aug 1, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$120.23Aug 1, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$120.47Aug 1, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $90 in July?$120.47Aug 1, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on August 1?$101.84Aug 1, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 1?$23.95Aug 1, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$122.86Aug 1, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on August 1?$107.75Aug 1, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 1?$62.98Aug 1, 04:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $87.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 19:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 12:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.