Novel-Chopstick
0xa1ac8a4dd538d67a40ca36efa62e589784320790
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$154.90
Total PnL
$-25.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
100 shares @ 96.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$95.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
120 shares @ 55.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$59.40
$-6.60
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
3100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-18.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?$96.19Aug 7, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$67.18Aug 7, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$150.00Aug 7, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$116.24Jun 25, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill GMGN launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.65Jun 25, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31? $185.61Jun 25, 04:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 31, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31? $139.47Mar 30, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$86.69Mar 30, 17:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Mar 30, 00:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $102.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 13:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.