Steep-Producer
0xa1b04716503ad38959c8fbfbbdd42c9d65d7fd60
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$2.08
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$16.64
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 78.0¢·now 4.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.08
$-36.92
- OVER
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5
425 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-53.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 26?
210 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-23.43
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
185 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-21.05
- OVER
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5
110 shares @ 51.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-57.19
- OVER
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 30.5
100 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-39.25
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
100 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-41.50
- OVER
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5
99 shares @ 24.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-24.50
- OVER
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5
73 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-35.37
- YES
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5
70 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-37.80
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.