Weird-Probation
0xa1bd2a1681f588b76e2ff445ed445edd4fc92992
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-12.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18 at 5PM ET?
7500 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-197.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 21 at 5PM ET?
3648 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?
1877 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-319.14
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 21 at 5PM ET?
1500 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-285.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 18?
1000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 18?
1000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $122,000 on July 21?
1000 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-190.00
- YES
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
564 shares @ 73.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-415.43
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $120K on July 21?
500 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-160.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7AM ET
400 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2025$0.00
$-169.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?$17.98Jul 23, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?$32.16Jul 23, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?$27.65Jul 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?$13.77Jul 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?$26.63Jul 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?$26.69Jul 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?$28.27Jul 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?$31.34Jul 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?$25.16Jul 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?$30.09Jul 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?$29.49Jul 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 23 at 5PM ET?$29.92Jul 23, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?$51.45Jul 23, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?$60.23Jul 23, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$61.50Jul 23, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$109.50Jul 23, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 21 at 5PM ET?$1.2KJul 21, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 21 at 5PM ET?$162.50Jul 21, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 21 at 5PM ET?$142.90Jul 21, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 21 at 5PM ET?$145.00Jul 21, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $66.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 11:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 15:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".