Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-233.79

Realised

$29.59

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 23

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
1889 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026
$0.00
$-182.16
YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
529 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026
$0.00
$-11.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
264 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
233 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$87.57Mar 4, 20:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$20.00Mar 4, 20:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Mar 4, 20:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Mar 4, 20:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.00Mar 4, 20:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Mar 4, 20:56 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Mar 4, 20:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$20.00Mar 4, 20:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$10.00Mar 4, 20:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.00Mar 4, 20:54 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$51.58Mar 4, 20:54 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$33.52Mar 4, 20:52 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$20.00Mar 4, 17:16 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$30.00Mar 4, 17:15 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$20.00Mar 4, 17:14 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$7.43Mar 4, 13:32 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$20.91Mar 4, 13:32 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$62.36Mar 4, 13:32 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$52.57Mar 4, 13:30 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$25.20Mar 4, 13:30 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry4 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk50 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $18.40
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 1, 11:39 UTC
Last active: Mar 4, 20:58 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 08:53:17 UTC·src:Polymarket Data