Unfit-Private
0xa1c476845b914afddc363b5620d71d9d13f6a462
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.81
Total PnL
$-43.25
Realised
$-5.83
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of June 29 2026?
3 shares @ 50.9¢·now 44.8¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$1.20
$-0.16
- YES
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of June 29 2026?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.98
$-0.08
- YES
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of June 29 2026?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.64
$-0.50
- NO
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of June 29 2026?
504 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
18 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
6 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.35
- YES
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of June 22 2026?
6 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
- UP
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 30?
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 end of June?$12.94Jun 30, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in June?$2.50Jun 30, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $320 in June?$2.57Jun 30, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $216 in June?$1.74Jun 30, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMRocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 30?$1.30Jun 30, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of June 29 2026?$1.17Jun 30, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 30?$3.01Jun 30, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of June 29 2026?$1.43Jun 30, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of June 29 2026?$2.02Jun 30, 16:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $375 end of June?$1.18Jun 30, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 30?$1.17Jun 30, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $228 Week of June 29 2026?$3.16Jun 30, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $228 Week of June 29 2026?$3.38Jun 30, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of June 29 2026?$2.87Jun 30, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of June 29 2026?$2.03Jun 30, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of June 29 2026?$2.28Jun 30, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of June 29 2026?$2.99Jun 30, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLRocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 30?$2.51Jun 30, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 30?$2.97Jun 30, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $375 end of June?$2.73Jun 30, 14:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 14:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 20:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.