Content-Direction
0xa1cce6ea8c929c91ee4b9c78a57b11115d7f6171
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$18.64
Total PnL
$-14.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 28?
11 shares @ 87.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 28, 2026$10.94
$0.94
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.96
$-1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 28?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 28, 2026$3.75
$-6.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 26?
5 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 26?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 24?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 24?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 24?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 27?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 28?$10.45May 28, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on May 28?$137.82May 28, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on May 28?$13.22May 28, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?$3.96May 28, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.85May 28, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by May 31, 2026?$4.77May 28, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on May 28?$28.09May 28, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on May 28?$30.44May 28, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on May 28?$20.26May 28, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 28?$20.02May 28, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 28?$30.69May 28, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on May 28?$10.06May 28, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.05May 28, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?$5.34May 28, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on May 27?$1.13May 27, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 27?$1.58May 27, 23:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 27?$1.97May 27, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026?$1.26May 27, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?$1.07May 27, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?$0.26May 27, 07:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 07:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".