Impossible-Divan
0xa1d20c5e08aa159dec7e950c567bfb65b832b5f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$851.58
Total PnL
$23.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
264 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$263.83
$15.83
- 100K
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?
402 shares @ 62.2¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$200.83
$-49.17
- NO
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?
104 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$104.17
$4.17
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
99 shares @ 90.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$99.49
$9.49
- YES
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?
90 shares @ 55.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$89.95
$39.95
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?
33 shares @ 91.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$32.64
$2.64
- DOWN
Meta (META) Up or Down on December 3?
20 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$20.41
$0.41
- DOWN
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on December 3?
20 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$20.02
$0.02
- NO
US recession in 2025?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.17
$0.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 4?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$10.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?$55.63Dec 5, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?$100.00Dec 5, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?$101.00Dec 5, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$60.00Dec 4, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$250.00Dec 3, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$228.00Dec 3, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 4?$10.00Dec 3, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?$30.00Dec 3, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?$50.00Dec 3, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$10.00Dec 3, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$30.00Dec 3, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on December 3?$20.00Dec 3, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 3, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 3, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetflix (NFLX) Up or Down on December 3?$10.00Dec 3, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetflix (NFLX) Up or Down on December 3?$10.00Dec 3, 20:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $61.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 20:16 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 10:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.