Glorious-Device
0xa1d61810f9d415b8f5a3d2e6cdf9b802a2981560
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$9.12
Total PnL
$-11.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Grok be the next CEO of X?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.00
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 15, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 4, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 26, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 26, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 26, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?$1.00Dec 26, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.01Dec 26, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.01Dec 26, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.01Dec 26, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$1.02Dec 26, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.02Dec 26, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.03Dec 26, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 11, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1.00Dec 10, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$1.00Dec 5, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Dec 4, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?$1.00Dec 3, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 2, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta reach $910 in November?$1.00Dec 2, 06:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $40.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 17, 07:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".