Familiar-Gearshift
0xa1d7588555a86816031ccfe0b8272bf49af0ab83
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$216.77
Total PnL
$-537.47
Realised
$-4.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
862 shares @ 21.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$216.77
$35.77
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
3994 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
1563 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.89
- YES
Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
1100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.90
- YES
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
1000 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-54.00
- YES
Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?
1000 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
921 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-53.31
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
622 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-34.00
- YES
Will any of Trump’s children launch a coin by Friday?
541 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 200% and 300% on April 30?
514 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-70.96
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $36.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".