Scientific-Curio
0xa1d785a262289d17c4b36912a76cf68530a9432f
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$20.00
Total PnL
$-544.17
Realised
$25.95
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on January 24?
20 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$20.00
$4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 11?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C on January 23?
226 shares @ 79.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-179.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on January 16?
150 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on January 16?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-13.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 20?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on January 17?
100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on January 21?
80 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-64.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 24?
70 shares @ 93.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-65.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$0.54Jan 26, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$0.85Jan 25, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$0.63Jan 25, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$0.24Jan 25, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$0.02Jan 25, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$0.56Jan 25, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$0.42Jan 25, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$0.05Jan 25, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.05Jan 25, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 25, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$1.82Jan 25, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$4.55Jan 25, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C on January 24?$0.60Jan 24, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on January 24?$8.00Jan 24, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on January 24?$4.00Jan 24, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C or below on January 24?$4.00Jan 24, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 24?$27.60Jan 24, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 24?$37.84Jan 24, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$10.00Jan 24, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 23?$24.98Jan 23, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $20.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 01:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".