Scornful-Wannabe
0xa1e7b8c8a0067c0cfd5a8fc8fb434e1ba84c8ffb
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-875.11
Realised
$5.17
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?
3387 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or higher on June 13?
720 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 13?
546 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 13?
417 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on June 14?
409 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 14?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 14?
255 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 14?
254 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 13?
253 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 14?
238 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-117.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.27Jul 21, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.00Jul 21, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$11.18Jul 21, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.01Jul 21, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.06Jul 21, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$6.33Jul 21, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.07Jul 21, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$2.81Jul 21, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.15Jul 21, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 21?$13.75Jul 21, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.09Jul 21, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.01Jul 21, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 21?$10.14Jul 21, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$6.35Jul 21, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$5.02Jul 21, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.01Jul 21, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $25.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 18:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.