Royal-Cytokine
0xa1ea2ce730046a2ffc57699d4d07a984d5ec28da
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-220.17
Realised
$-20.74
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in April 2025?
1113 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get less than 60m views in first 24 hours?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.37-1.41ºC in April 2025?
737 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in April 2025?
494 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on May 7?
161 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-59.23
- NO
New Pope announced by May 9?
108 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-28.11
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on May 7?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 76°F or higher on July 21?
54 shares @ 99.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-53.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on July 16?
35 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2025$0.00
$-14.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 8?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$3.00Sep 8, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$6.34Sep 8, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$50.05Sep 8, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$3.85Sep 8, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$60.00Sep 8, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 76°F or higher on July 21?$53.12Jul 21, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on July 19?$52.28Jul 21, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 19?$0.83Jul 19, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on July 19?$52.13Jul 19, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 19?$5.00Jul 19, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on July 16?$14.96Jul 16, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 16?$14.97Jul 16, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 16?$13.56Jul 16, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on July 16?$13.55Jul 16, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on July 16?$19.12Jul 16, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on July 16?$9.00Jul 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on May 7?$1.00May 7, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope announced by May 9?$2.00May 7, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope announced by May 9?$4.75May 7, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Pope announced by May 9?$2.16May 7, 15:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 13:29 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 8, 21:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".