Extra-Small-Identity
0xa201528b121e53e425d39ad18872485aacf64dfd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-794.23
Realised
$-156.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
893 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
504 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times August 22–August 29?
261 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-245.69
- YES
Will Trump say "News" or "Media" 10+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
260 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 355–369 times August 29–September 5?
231 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 340–354 times August 29–September 5?
209 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 190–204 times August 29–September 5?
200 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during speech on October 14?
161 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$3.22Nov 12, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 12+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?$158.43Nov 7, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 12+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?$22.02Nov 7, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Energy" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$56.94Nov 7, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Critical Mineral" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$35.07Nov 7, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Energy" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$29.48Nov 6, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Critical Mineral" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$29.48Nov 6, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Energy" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$34.94Nov 6, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Critical Mineral" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$34.94Nov 6, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Critical Mineral" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$100.00Nov 6, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Energy" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?$52.22Nov 6, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$22.23Nov 6, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 12+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?$8.00Nov 3, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$3.00Nov 3, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$1.00Nov 3, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$3.00Nov 3, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$2.00Nov 3, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$3.00Nov 3, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 12+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?$49.74Nov 3, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hoax" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?$69.74Nov 3, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $29.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 14:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".