Original-Typewriter
0xa204785c7460051833b0f56de82a7b717e22a086
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$129.90
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
645 shares @ 31.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$112.90
$-87.10
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.00
$-83.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
1825 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
1235 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-280.30
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
1097 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Canada leading at halftime?
1053 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
996 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
925 shares @ 51.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-480.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Too Late" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
596 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Will the State of the Union be 100 minutes or longer?
577 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$49.17Jun 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada leading at halftime?$407.44Jun 12, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$203.90Jun 11, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$200.00Jun 8, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$200.00Jun 8, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by May 24?$668.04May 20, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$254.14May 20, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 24?$800.00May 20, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$100.00May 19, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$204.60May 16, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$250.00May 15, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$280.30Mar 29, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$327.87Mar 14, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$200.00Mar 3, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$200.00Mar 2, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 7?$200.00Mar 2, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 2, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 2, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2.0KMar 2, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$480.00Mar 2, 21:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $302.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 11:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.