Shy-Downtown
0xa206b1dd04ca8c218f05fd05ca6193ae390c1646
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
7 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 8?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?$29.17Dec 22, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?$7.00Oct 20, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$1.00Oct 19, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$1.00Oct 19, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$1.00Oct 16, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$1.00Oct 16, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$1.00Oct 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$1.00Oct 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$1.00Oct 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$1.00Oct 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.28Oct 14, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$3.94Oct 14, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$10.34Oct 13, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?$3.00Oct 10, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4,600 and $4,700 on October 8?$1.00Oct 7, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on October 8?$2.00Oct 7, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,600 on October 6?$3.94Oct 6, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down on October 6?$4.16Oct 6, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,600 on October 6?$1.50Oct 6, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on October 6?$1.50Oct 6, 11:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 3, 08:10 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 15:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".